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Category: Betting

Happy first anniversay First Minister

Happy first anniversay First Minister

When it comes to Scottish polling one important caveat is often missed and that is that soon the SNP will be soon be entering their eighteenth year of being in power at Holyrood. Given that context I think Yousaf’s and the SNP’s polling isn’t that bad, Sunak and the Tories would love to have that kind of polling figures GB wide and while Jim Murphy’s post might be funny it masks the fact that during 2024 the SNP have been…

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Angela, Angela, when will those clouds all disappear?

Angela, Angela, when will those clouds all disappear?

I suspect this story about Angela Rayner is Currygate Mark II which rather got Tory partisans and Starmer critics rather excited but with the locals coming up this is a distraction Labour could do without. The one thing that is different is that the Dan Neidle is querying some of Angela Rayner’s assertions which should worry her. Mr Neidle is the last person I would want getting involved in my tax affairs. TSE

Hoist with his own petard

Hoist with his own petard

The great contradiction of British politics today is the Tories talking about cracking down on small numbers of illegal immigration yet consistently delivering record breaking legal immigration, this polling captures that and why Sunak is in a bit of pickle. TSE

We may need to revise our summer plans

We may need to revise our summer plans

If deputy political editor of ITV news is right there is massive value in backing June, and/or July, August as the month of the general election. I still think an autumn election is where we are headed but I am now having a nibble at these prices. I am not the only one to note that Sunak might be approaching a breaking point and wants out, this fits that thesis. TSE

The worst appointment since Incitatus

The worst appointment since Incitatus

Whilst they weren’t cabinet ministers I do think Tim Montgomerie may have a point, the appointment of Jonathan Gullis screams like a cry for help from Sunak. It is already annoying Tory MPs which is not what you need when you could soon be facing a confidence vote. I don’t wish to be cruel nor unkind but nothing sums up the failing education system than the fact that quite recently Jonathan Gullis was a teacher in our state schools. TSE

David Cameron’s maxim about Twitter proved right once again

David Cameron’s maxim about Twitter proved right once again

My initial reaction to this screw up by the Tories was to laugh at their incompetence but unfortunately I am really annoyed by one thing in this ad and it is just one word. The ad says Sadiq Khan seized power in London. Nope, he took power via an election then was re-elected. The word seized is the sort of the language you’d expect from the MAGA Republican party targeting a non white mayor. If the Tories want a long…

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The enthusiasm gap

The enthusiasm gap

The above findings appear to confirm the maxim that oppositions do not win elections but governments lose them. What strikes me is the lack of enthusiasm for Starmer and Labour might have some betting implications in so far it might lead to a Labour victory but not the massive landslide victory the voting intention polls indicate but a more modest majority. TSE