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Category: Biden

January 6th is what some Republican congressmen are now calling a “tourist visit”

January 6th is what some Republican congressmen are now calling a “tourist visit”

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It is now more than four and a half months since the dramatic events in Washington when supporters of Donald Trump stormed the Capitol building in the effort to stop Congress officially certifying that Joe Biden won the 2020 presidential election – yet what happened that day looks set to dominate US politics for a long time to come. The latest move is for Congress to create an official inquiry into what happened and, no doubt, Trump would have been…

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My “Jo Biden Day 100” approval rating bet now looking touch and go

My “Jo Biden Day 100” approval rating bet now looking touch and go

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Its been edging up not down A couple of months ago I did a post here and bet at evens that by the time Joe Biden got to his 100th day in office he would still have approval ratings in the range of 50-54.9%. I described this as one of the best political bets at the moment. My worry then with the bet was that the novelty of him not being Trump would start to decline and by the time…

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Analysing the market on Biden serving a full term

Analysing the market on Biden serving a full term

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In recent weeks Joe Biden’s struggles up the stairs of Air Force One attracted much comment from his opponents and critics. It is a bit of an awkward watch, for some reason it reminded me of Ed Miliband’s inability to eat a bacon sandwich. But Biden’s critics seem to be pushing various memes about Biden being weak and physically unfit to be President, if you want to bet on Biden not lasting the full term Ladbrokes have a market up…

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COVID vaccination – the extraordinary political divide in the US

COVID vaccination – the extraordinary political divide in the US

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One of the features of American politics I find difficult understanding is in the above polling. As can be seen supporters of Donald Trump’s party, the Republicans, have a much more negative of vaccination view than Democrats even to the extent that 42% say they don’t plan to take it This is not margin of error stuff but a huge divide and from what we know the refusers are likely putting their own lives at risk. The technical term, I’d…

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Why I am betting that Joe Biden will NOT be the Democratic nominee in 2024

Why I am betting that Joe Biden will NOT be the Democratic nominee in 2024

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Even though it is just over a fortnight since Joe Biden was sworn in as the 46th president of the United States the betting has opened on who will be the nominees for the parties and, of course, the winner in 2024. As can be seen on Smarkets which has a slightly bigger market at this stage than Betfair, Biden is rated as just a 25% chance. Historically this is quite remarkable because generally speaking the strong favourite after an…

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Six hours to go before Georgia voting closes and the pressure builds on Pence who oversees tomorrow’s vital Congress session

Six hours to go before Georgia voting closes and the pressure builds on Pence who oversees tomorrow’s vital Congress session

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The Dems now odds-on favourites to win both Runoff races Today must be the most critical non presidential election in modern American history for if the Democrats can take both the Georgia senate seats then the Biden will start his presidency with his party holding the House, the Senate, and of course the White House. As expected Trump is doing his best to put pressure on all parties in order to avoid him being booted out on January 20th as…

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Both Trump and Biden stage Georgia rallies on the eve of today’s Georgia runoffs

Both Trump and Biden stage Georgia rallies on the eve of today’s Georgia runoffs

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Trump’s was all about him and appeared like a series of whines particularly against the Republican governor of the state and, of course, the Secretary of State who stood up for democracy in face of huge pressure as we saw in the recording of a phone call he got from the outgoing president. This contrasted with the President-elect who emphasised consistently the importance of the outcome for the future of the US. There was a good analysis of both parties…

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In choosing Buttigieg for his cabinet Biden could be preparing the ground for a possible successor

In choosing Buttigieg for his cabinet Biden could be preparing the ground for a possible successor

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With the inauguration on January 20th getting closer Joe Biden’s going through the process almost everyday of announcing new members of his team. Of all of them so far the most well-known name came yesterday with the choice of Pete Buttigieg to be the transportation secretary. This should give the 39 year old former Mayor of South Bend Indiana a continuing media presence something he did very successfully on behalf of the President elect during the election campaign. Time and…

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