Browsed by
Category: BREXIT

Ruthless: RBG’s death has given Trump a Black Swan to exploit

Ruthless: RBG’s death has given Trump a Black Swan to exploit

The whole nature of the 2020 campaign has just changed. For all her liberal views, one of the most significant legacies of Ruth Bader Ginsburg – via the happenstance of when she died – might be to embed a conservative majority on the US Supreme Court for a generation. Time is short. The Republicans have only six weeks to secure a replacement if they are to be able to go to their voters and claim the achievement of having delivered…

Read More Read More

With just 46 days to go till WH2020 Biden moves up in the betting

With just 46 days to go till WH2020 Biden moves up in the betting

Trump in worse position at this point than when up against Hillary four years ago As each day goes by and we get closer to election day, now just 46 days off, there is no significant change in Trump’s position. He’s still trailing in national polls by markedly bigger margins than he was against Hillary Clinton last time and this must raise doubts about his prospects. A big factor is likely to be a higher turnout than we have seen…

Read More Read More

Does the Internal Markets Bill Compromise Work?

Does the Internal Markets Bill Compromise Work?

That rather depends on what the aim is But first, what does it actually do? The government’s compromise with Sir Bob Neill on his amendment does the following:- It gives the House of Commons (but not the Lords) the right to vote before the government triggers the clauses disapplying the provisions of the Withdrawal Agreement and the Act implementing it. It might even be (but hasn’t been – yet) called a Meaningful Vote. In a week when: – (a) regulations…

Read More Read More

Now the Johnson/Cummings move to change the Brexit agreement threatens a US-UK trade deal

Now the Johnson/Cummings move to change the Brexit agreement threatens a US-UK trade deal

One of the big challenges presented by Brexit is that the UK needs to make trade deals with nations that before had deals with the EU and there’s a reminder of the pressure that can be exerted in the above letter from Washington DC. For in the US any trade deal would have to be approved by the House of Representatives which, of course could lead to all sorts of other issues being raised. A nation operating on its own…

Read More Read More

A back down by Boris on his “break international law Bill” ?

A back down by Boris on his “break international law Bill” ?

The above Tweet from the Times suggests that the Prime Minister is thinking of compromising over his controversial Brexit move which would ignore a Treaty obligation which is in breach of international law. This would seem entirely logical because the chances are that the bill will have a rough time in the House of Lords. There is the Salisbury convention that broadly states that the Upper House should not vote down measures that were in the manifesto of the wining…

Read More Read More

Johnson’s former Attorney-General, Geoffrey Cox, says he’ll rebel against the PM’s ignore international law bill

Johnson’s former Attorney-General, Geoffrey Cox, says he’ll rebel against the PM’s ignore international law bill

He’s the biggest name so far With Johnson planning to push ahead with a law that would allow the government to ignore treaty obligations in relation to Brexit a big Tory figure and Brexiteer, former A-G Geoffrey Cox has told that Times that he plans to join the rebels when this comes before the house. It is being reported that Cox’s mind is made up despite several appeals by the PM over the weekend. A big element is not just…

Read More Read More

Falling down

Falling down

Michael Douglas’s defining performance remains his leading role in Falling Down. He plays the part of a man who, when his car gets stuck in an unending traffic jam, steps out on foot and strikes against the annoyances and dangers of everyday life in a way that audiences would have dreamt of but never have dared. One of the joys of the film is how it leads its audience to identify with and cheer on a man who act out…

Read More Read More