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Category: Gordon Brown

Let’s kill this myth once again. Cameron never had the chance of a minority government in May 2010

Let’s kill this myth once again. Cameron never had the chance of a minority government in May 2010

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May 11 2010 The Tories hadn’t won & there was need for Brown to step aside I’ve made this point before but Gord had all the cards in his hand on May 7th 2010. The Tories had failed to win a majority and there was no obligation on him to go to the palace and recommend to the Queen that Cameron should be invited to form a government. It is this central constitional fact that the “Dave should have gone…

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3 days before he lost GE2010 voters in the marginals rated Gordon Brown as best person to lead Britain through economic crisis

3 days before he lost GE2010 voters in the marginals rated Gordon Brown as best person to lead Britain through economic crisis

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Leading on the economy isn't everything. See this from final Ipsos-MORI poll of marginals at GE2010 pic.twitter.com/W0n5k6yMyy — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2013 @ScotMac3 The same final Ipsos-MORI GE2010 marginals poll had a 7% LAB>CON swing – enough for a majority — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 2, 2013 Another contradictory “It’s the Economy” finding? I came across the above from the final Ipsos-MORI marginals poll of the GE2010 campaign while researching the broader question of how such surveys compare…

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Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government

Dave would not have become PM if he’d held out for a minority Conservative government

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May 7 2010: Cameron making his offer to the LDs On Friday I took part in a conference panel with Paul Staines and the respected city analyst, David Buik. He made a statement which we’ve heard before from Conservative supporters that Cameron’s big mistake was making his offer to the Lib Dems on the day after the last general election. Buik, and others including a number of Tory MPs and commentators, have argued that the minority Tory government would not…

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It is questionable that Tony could have done what Gordon did and denied Dave a majority in 2010

It is questionable that Tony could have done what Gordon did and denied Dave a majority in 2010

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Henry G Manson disputes Blair’s assertion that he’d have done better than Brown @ GE2010.bit.ly/16Boguz twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 5, 2013 Henry G Manson with a “What if” scenario Tony Blair’s remarks that “he could have given Cameron a run for his money” have raised a few eyebrows this morning. It’s opened up an intriguing “what if” scenario. It’s easy to look back in rose-tinted spectacles, and a number of commentators such as John Rentoul have an interest…

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Five years on from the election that never was

Five years on from the election that never was

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Today, is the fifth anniversary of Gordon Brown’s decision not to hold an election in the autumn of 2007. It was a very interesting time for anyone interested in politics or betting. We had a Labour MP writing an article predicting ‘Shortly there will be an election, in which Labour will increase its majority’ Labour spent a reported one million pounds for an election that never happened. Lord Kinnock’s intervention during the Labour conference, where he  explaining why he wanted Labour to…

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On the 5th Anniversary of Blair’s exit from No. 10……

On the 5th Anniversary of Blair’s exit from No. 10……

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Would Labour still be in power if they’d stuck with Tony? Exactly five years ago today, June 27th 2007, was a pivotal point in British politics. It was the moment when the triple general election winner Tony Blair stood down and when Gordon Brown took over after Labour MPs had given him the job without a contest. Blair, of course, was one of only three leaders in Labour’s entire history to lead the party to overall majorities The clip featured…

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Why did 308 LAB MPs ever give this man a coronation?

Why did 308 LAB MPs ever give this man a coronation?

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A reminder from five years ago Today’s appearance before the Leveson inquiry by Gordon Brown is a reminder of what to me was the most appalling mistake in modern politics – the decision by 308 Labour MPs to allow Gordon Brown to be elected leader unopposed in May 2007. The Brown campaign went to extraordinary lengths to ensure that no other candidate was able to reach the required threshold of nominations to be on the ballot – and so Gordon…

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Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

Cameron’s MORI ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s

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Both the PM and Nick Clegg see 8 points drops Another poll, MORI, has EdM beating DC in leader ratings.Ed’s net rating is -16/Dave’s is -28/Clegg’s is -39 bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Clegg also sees a big drop in his MORI ratings down from -31 in April to -39 now.bit.ly/JXzzkh — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) May 15, 2012 Cameron’s -28% MORI rating is worse than Gordon Brown’s was in any survey from the pollster in the 5…

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