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Category: Independent Group

If it’s any consolation to LAB – the last CON 10%+ leads were in the days before GE2017 – and we know what happened then

If it’s any consolation to LAB – the last CON 10%+ leads were in the days before GE2017 – and we know what happened then

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The overnight YouGov poll giving the Conservatives an 11% lead was the worst for LAB since the 2017 general election. I like to look at polls in context which is why above there there is the full Wikipedia list of all GB voting intention polls this year. The big picture is that LAB is on the decline and the Tories are moving up a bit. Although you’ve got a range of Conservative leads between 4% and 11% surveys it’s the…

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It appears Blair slayer Tom Watson has his sights on Jeremy Corbyn

It appears Blair slayer Tom Watson has his sights on Jeremy Corbyn

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Tom Watson reveals he has send Jeremy Corbyn a dossier of 50 allegations of anti-Semitism that he feels have not been dealt with by Labour. Big move. He's putting this directly on Jeremy Corbyn's doorstep. What will Corbyn do? — Steven Swinford (@Steven_Swinford) February 24, 2019 Tom Watson just delivered Corbyn a series of ultimatums. a ) Deal with AS personally. b) Deal with these specific 50 cases. c) Let me start to develop policy independently of you. d) Back…

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New Opinium poll has LAB moving from level-pegging to 8% behind in just a week

New Opinium poll has LAB moving from level-pegging to 8% behind in just a week

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LAB 32-5 CON 40+3 TIG 6 LD 5-3 UKIP 7= The first of what could number of polls tonight is from Opinium for the Observer and sees the Tories take an 8% lead up from level-pegging a week ago. That’s quite a movement. Clearly the week has seen another political story dominate the headlines that is not Brexit and much of the focus of the new Independent Group has been critical of LAB and particularly its leader. Corbyn looks less…

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TIGgers can reshape politics – but not as a collective of lone wolves

TIGgers can reshape politics – but not as a collective of lone wolves

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They have declared war on the current party system, and must win or die Extinction is the usual fate of most political splits. Whether by political defeat or by a subsequent merger into a pre-existing party, any MP resigning from his or her party and not defecting directly to another one usually finds their subsequent career to be one of struggle, isolation and defeat. Is there any reason to think that this week’s extraordinary events could lead to any different…

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Labour needs a better response than the TIGers should resign and fight by-elections

Labour needs a better response than the TIGers should resign and fight by-elections

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If LAB had demanded that Jared O'Mara quit his Sheffield Hallam seat then its calls for the seven to resign and have by-elections would carry more weight. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 18, 2019 Can we please stop repeating the lie that it's a "convention" for defecting MPs to trigger a by-election? Since WW2, 69 MPs have switched from 1 party to another (not including party mergers, withdrawals of the whip, & sitting as an Independent). Only 4 triggered by-elections….

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William Hill make it odds-on that none of the original LAB and CON TIGers will hold their seats

William Hill make it odds-on that none of the original LAB and CON TIGers will hold their seats

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The basic bet is whether any of the founding 11 TIGers are going to be returned as MPs at the next general election. The names listed are Heidi Allen, Luciana Berger, Ann Coffey, Mike Gapes, Chris Leslie, Joan Ryan, Gavin Shuker, Angela Smith, Anna Soubry, Chuka Umunna and Sarah Wollaston. I’d reckon that Chuka Umunna and Sarah Wollaston would be in with a fighting chance with, I’d guess. high name recognition in their constituencies. I think Heidi Allen in Cambridgeshire…

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Newport West – the first electoral test for the TIGers?

Newport West – the first electoral test for the TIGers?

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OrdnanceSurvey One thing that we learnt from the launch of the SDP in 1981 is that a new party has to achieve and demonstrate electoral success quickly. Although the Independent group has made great efforts not to be a political party it will achieve success faster if it can show in real elections that both LAB and CON voters and others are more inclined to it than the parties led by Mr Corbyn and Mrs, May. Back in 1981 I…

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Now CON MPs defect to the TIGers

Now CON MPs defect to the TIGers

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The shifting sands of politics shift again. This must have not been an easy decision either. But it says a lot that some of the (ex) Tory MPs I respect the most have now left. https://t.co/xJmW5pq6NF — Layla Moran (@LaylaMoran) February 20, 2019 That’s four times as many who switched to the SDP As expected The Independent Group is dominating the headlines with an announcement a few minutes ago that three women Tory MPs have decided to switch. None of…

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