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Category: Theresa May

What better front pages for TMay on the day of the big local elections

What better front pages for TMay on the day of the big local elections

She¬† comes over as decisive firm and tough The conventional wisdom is that you don’t want negative stories about your party to be making the headlines on the day of any elections. Everything is about turnout, particularly with the locals, and all efforts should be made to ensure that your base and your activists are out there enthusiastically going to the polls and getting out the vote. So I just wonder whether the very public sacking Gavin Williamson yesterday evening…

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On this day exactly two years ago it was Peak Theresa May (and Nick Timothy)

On this day exactly two years ago it was Peak Theresa May (and Nick Timothy)

On this day two years ago ComRes was just finalising its poll for the S Mirror and the Independent. These were the published figuresCON 50%LAB 25%LD 11%UKIP 7%SNP 4%GRN 3% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 19, 2019 Two years ago today pic.twitter.com/0hBCC5jVNH — Sunder Katwala (@sundersays) April 18, 2019 On the betting markets it was a 92% chance that the Tories would win a majority. It got even tighter than that – on the weekend after Tory performance in that…

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Ex-CON leader betting favourite, Javid, drops sharply amidst reports of plots to block him

Ex-CON leader betting favourite, Javid, drops sharply amidst reports of plots to block him

Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange A sign of the Tory Islamophobia crisis? As can be seen from the betting price chart six months ago the Home Secretary. Sajid Javid, was 6the favourite to succeed TMay as CON leader and prime minister Since then he has seen a steady deterioration in his position in the betting and over the last couple of days he’s moved down from an 8% chance to just 5%. Earlier in the week BuzzFeed…

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TMay makes most of the front pages this morning as reports continue of efforts to oust her

TMay makes most of the front pages this morning as reports continue of efforts to oust her

But she’s not going, surely, before the Euros? Given the fact that we could be seeing two separate sets of elections next month, the locals on May 2nd and the Euros on May 23rd it is hard to see how TMay a can be pushed out before then. In many way her challenges are not of her own making. It was her predecessor who committed the Tories to a referendum and the 51.9%-48.1% outcome was hardly a mandate for some…

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Selling time. What passes for Theresa May’s strategy

Selling time. What passes for Theresa May’s strategy

Picture credit: Sunil¬†Prasannan We spend all our lives buying and selling time. We sell our time to employers. We trade time for convenience when deciding where we live and what we are prepared to pay for that. Oddly, we talk of buying time but we never talk of selling time, even though we do both. This is a gap in the English language. For the last few months that has been all that Theresa May has been doing. After Theresa…

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The picture of TMay that says it all on most of the front pages this morning

The picture of TMay that says it all on most of the front pages this morning

Will she stay if Brexit doesn’t happen? It is not often that the papers are all at one over what is the big news of the day. Interestingly as well they mostly use the same picture of Theresa May to illustrate their stories and this, my guess, will go down as a match to the shots of Maggie Thatcher in the car as she was leaving Downing Street for the last time in November 1990. The problem with her withdrawal…

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Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Johnson edges back to favourite on the day that TMay’s future could be decided

Betdata.io chart of movement on the Betfair exchange On the face of it a lot could be decided today that will give us a clearer view of Britain’s and Theresa May’s political Futures. The two are clearly interlinked. With even some of her most hostile opponents within the parliamentary party now supporting her deal the prime minister is facing her backbenchers this afternoon when it’s widely expected that she’ll be pressed strongly to give an indication of her exit date….

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