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Category: UK Elections – others

Ahead of the May local elections Prof Michael Thrasher on the resources of The Elections Centre

Ahead of the May local elections Prof Michael Thrasher on the resources of The Elections Centre

  Several recent up-dates and have been made to the Elections Centre website that should interest followers of Politicalbetting as we approach what appear to be an intriguing set of May local elections. The website also has two important additions – a new section covering council by-elections and another that hopefully will push the local elections database beyond the million candidate mark. The councils compositions calculator now covers the position up to and including last May’s local elections. There are other…

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The uncertainty over Brexit and TMay are set to make this year’s locals more significant than usual

The uncertainty over Brexit and TMay are set to make this year’s locals more significant than usual

One things for sure — TMay’s Tories will struggle to match last year We are little over two months away from this year’s local elections which because of the febrile political situation could have wider consequences than just who runs the local council. Generally the bookmakers don’t take much notice of these elections and it is not often that we see betting markets. So Ladbrokes move to open the first ones for this May suggests that something is in the…

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London falling – a look at next May’s elections in the capital

London falling – a look at next May’s elections in the capital

 Stodge give us his predictions If a week is a long time in politics and there’s plenty of evidence for that at the moment, perhaps eight months will seem a veritable eternity. Assuming the Earth hasn’t crashed into the Sun or the zombies have taken over or we haven’t had another General Election, May 3rd 2018 will see the next big test of public opinion with the year’s round of local elections and of particular interest will be the London…

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Professor Steve Fisher – the political scientist who got it right yet again

Professor Steve Fisher – the political scientist who got it right yet again

So far Steve Fisher's prediction on Tuesday looking pretty good https://t.co/2ELo3ROjN7 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2017 My English local elections seats forecast from pollsCon +430Lab -315LD -30 https://t.co/zUExklIRzx — Steve Fisher (@StephenDFisher) May 2, 2017 On Tuesday afternoon professor Steve Fisher who runs the Elections etc website produced his predictions for the locals which were very different from what other academics and analysts were saying. His projected numbers particularly for the LDs ran very much against the narrative….

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Huge CON gains, LAB collapse UKIP wipe out – the story of the night do far

Huge CON gains, LAB collapse UKIP wipe out – the story of the night do far

Thanks to RobD’s great resource here part is featured above. We have a brilliant tracker of what’s happening. The virtual wipe out of UKIP and the switch of those voters has put the Tories in an extraordinarily powerful position as the numbers shows. This all augurs well for TMay’s party on June 8th. The LDs have put on votes but look set to end as seat losers. The super mayoralty results will mostly come during the day and it is…

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Tonight’s battle grounds – the seats that are being defended

Tonight’s battle grounds – the seats that are being defended

There is a whole series of different sets of elections taking place today and the chart focuses on English council seats which were last fought in 2013. Mostly the seats being contested are in the old shire counties so this is not fertile territory for Labour in any circumstances period as can be seen. The Tories completely dominated last time these were fought. 2013 was the third year of the coalition waspretty bad year for the Lib Dems. It was…

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