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Category: US Politics

Seven weeks to go before Iowa and Trump remains totally dominant

Seven weeks to go before Iowa and Trump remains totally dominant

RCP Polling Average GOP Nominee Seven weeks tomorrow the first state to decide in next year’s White House Race will choose which of the Democratic and Republican Party hopefuls will be their choice as nominees. Hillary Clinton looks as though she has sewn up the Democratic race and most of the attention is on the Republicans. The chart above shows the national trend and as can be seen the property billionaire turned TV star is now back at his former…

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Fiorina now leading the Donald in New Hampshire – where the first full primary takes place

Fiorina now leading the Donald in New Hampshire – where the first full primary takes place

Just arrived back home from my holiday in Southern France and am only now catching up with the news – so no piggy puns from me! While Britain has been focussed on the election of Mr Corbyn, and now the Ashcroft Cameron biography, the 2016 White House race has been seeing some dramatic developments Last week there was the second full TV debate of the Republican party Primary featuring the former CEO of Hewlett Packard, Carly Fiorina, who only just…

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Exactly a year to go before the WH2016 primaries start and Senator Elizabeth Warren is moving into the frame

Exactly a year to go before the WH2016 primaries start and Senator Elizabeth Warren is moving into the frame

The campaign to persuade Elizabeth Warren to run for President http://t.co/bXc3sWuggn pic.twitter.com/xERcLp7jlC — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 13, 2015 Could she beat Hillary for Democratic party nomination Last night I had an 8/1 bet on Massachusetts Senator, Elizabeth Warren, to be the Democratic party nominee in next year’s White House race. She’s now second favourite in the betting and looks like she’d be a serious challenger if she decided to go for it. Until now the widespread assumption has been…

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There’s an inexorable feeling that the next election will be just like 1992

There’s an inexorable feeling that the next election will be just like 1992

Will the next US Presidential election could well be Bush v Clinton, again? The big news in last day was this tweet I am excited to announce I will actively explore the possibility of running for President of the United States: https://t.co/luY4lCF2cA. — Jeb Bush (@JebBush) December 16, 2014 Back in February I advised backing him as Republican Party Nominee at 10/1, he is now trading as low as 9/4 right now. A poll for NBC/WSJ found that Just 31%…

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The woman in this great ad wins the Senator race in Iowa to help the GOP take control of the Senate

The woman in this great ad wins the Senator race in Iowa to help the GOP take control of the Senate

A future White House contender? NYT graphic of the US exit polls showing the demographic divide. http://t.co/U78l0QsoWF pic.twitter.com/tirP0tamjX — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 5, 2014 The big UK political betting news will be the release by Lord Ashcroft later this morning of his latest round of single seat polling. He’s gone for seats with bigger majorities than his earlier polling as well as a look at Scotland. That’s due out at 11am and I will be covering on Twitter as well…

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If the Betfair exchange is anything to go by it will be a good night for the Republicans in the MidTerms

If the Betfair exchange is anything to go by it will be a good night for the Republicans in the MidTerms

Betfair exchange punters rate the the Republicans chances of winning Senate in today's midterms at 85% pic.twitter.com/H2Qk4snAPG — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 4, 2014 The contests don’t appear to have grabbed public attention Gallup polling suggests there's much less interest in today's midterm elections than in previous years pic.twitter.com/wbF9W83jmB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 4, 2014 In the US its the midterms. This map shows when polls close across the country. pic.twitter.com/FJf4Pepg0M — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 4, 2014