politicalbetting.com

March has seen a better set of General Election polling numbers for the Tories then they’ve had in months. The latest from Deltapoll has it down to just 10% What is striking looking at the Wikipedia table above is that the Conservatives are doing markedly better with pollsters that have had prior experience of having the general election polls tested against real results. The pollsters that are showing the biggest Labour margins are new ones that have sprung up since…

Read More Read More

Today has been the annual local election briefing for the media by the Tory elections specialist Lord Hayward and he made what should prove to be a fairly accurate prediction about Culture Secretary Dorries. True to form in that period after the polls have closed on May 4th and we await the results Hayward suggested she’ll be going on TV arguing that the Tories would have done far better if Johnson had still been in post. In fact in his…

Read More Read More

Savanta poll: 67% say he should quit if it he found to have lied This is going to be a massive week for the former prime minister Boris Johnson with the report of the Commons Privileges Committee on whether he lied to the House about partygate. A new poll from Savanta finds that 67% of those quizzed say that he should quit if it is found that he did in fact tell a lie to the House of Commons. This…

Read More Read More

Are Labour set to flower in Scotland? The idée reçue for many, myself included, is that Labour winning a majority at the next election is unlikely due in part of the position they find themselves in Scotland, down to just one MP. Until quite recently the SNP it looked like the SNP prepotency in Scotland would continue but after the recent events where the SNP gone out of their way to step on every available banana skin where it looks…

Read More Read More

This is quite something, if this happens on Tuesday or some later date, then I suspect it will solidify Trump’s hold on the GOP and Presidential nomination, he could be the American Bobby Sands. I’d expect violence from the treasonous GOP that will outdo the January 6th insurrection, I’m not sure what this will do to the wider betting markets. TSE

It is a measure of how seriously the Swiss authorities view Credit Suisse’s position that they are, according to weekend reports, orchestrating a UBS takeover. It is not the first time that a merger of these banking behemoths has been considered. Last time it was Credit Suisse which considered acquiring UBS when it was in serious difficulties after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. UBS survived, with Swiss government backing, shareholder cash, endless cost-cutting and, eventually, a return to its strengths:…

Read More Read More

This polling should worry the palace Not long now until May the 6th when King Charles is due to have his Coronation. This is all set to be a full state occasion all the splendour that we have come to know. But how many are really interested in the event and could it be that it ends up as a TV ratings flop? The above YouGov polling looks very problematic for the palace given that just 7% say they are…

Read More Read More