BoJo slumps to his worst ever Opinium PM approval rating

BoJo slumps to his worst ever Opinium PM approval rating

While just about everybody has been focused on the tennis the fortnightly Opinium poll has been published overnght with some bad news for the PM – his latest approval ratings which are featured in the chart above. As can be seen the PM now has a disapproval rating of 49% with just 32% saying that they approve. The former is the highest it has been since he entered Number 10 and the latter is the lowest. The voting intention figures…

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Bet on Raducanu for SPOTY before tonight’s final

Bet on Raducanu for SPOTY before tonight’s final

If she wins the current 62% will seem like a bargain It is very hard to see between now and the December vote for the Sports Personality of the Year for the 18 year old tennis sensation from Bromley to be knocked off her perch as the strong odds on betting favourite. Without any doubt she is the UK sporting figure of the year and millions will be tuning in to Channel 4 this evening at 9pm. If she wins…

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The fight for the Lone Star State – Texas 2022

The fight for the Lone Star State – Texas 2022

Chart from the University of Texas Next year the US midterms take place, with the entire House, one third of the Senate, and 36 governors up for (mostly re)election. While the House and Senate generally get the media focus given their importance for what the President can or cannot pass, an interesting story is developing in Texas. I’ll give you the spoiler up front: The bookies are getting too excited about a fun but rather unlikely scenario and the incumbent…

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As we approach the twentieth anniversary of 9/11

As we approach the twentieth anniversary of 9/11

I was out on a lunch break when my mother rang me to tell me about a plane hitting the North Tower, shortly thereafter she rang me after she saw the second plane hit South Tower. 9/11 simultaneously feels like yesterday and an aeon ago for me. TSE

Next London Mayor betting

Next London Mayor betting

As it stands both the next general election and the next London mayoral election are scheduled for May 2024 but I suspect the government will not allow that to happen and move to the London mayoral election a month later or so because there’s also the London Assembly elections as well. It might be similar to the decision not to hold devolved government elections on the same day as a UK wide general election. I wonder if we have a…

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Labour have their first opinion poll lead since January

Labour have their first opinion poll lead since January

Creating a client vote has consequences. Just one poll but those who backed a Labour poll lead in 2021 will be smiling. This poll is quite the eye opener and reputation shredder for the PM and the Conservatives if other pollsters show something similar. From The Times write up of this poll Less than a third of voters think Johnson and the Conservatives care about improving the NHS compared with more than half who do not, despite the fact the…

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Reshuffle betting

Reshuffle betting

Yesterday’s Times reported that Boris Johnson is considering a cabinet reshuffle this month as Westminster is engulfed by rumours about demotions for some of his most senior ministers. In the middle of a pivotal week for the prime minister, ambitious Tories and career officials are convinced that a shake-up is imminent and could come as soon as [Thursday]. Publicly Downing Street has said that there are “no plans” for a reshuffle — stopping short of scotching speculation altogether — while…

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