Some good polling for Sunak over Johnson but terrible polling for the Tories

Some good polling for Sunak over Johnson but terrible polling for the Tories

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If Boris Johnson is going to be stopped becoming Tory leader and Prime Minister next week Tory MPs and members will need to see that Boris Johnson isn’t best placed to get the best Tory result at the next election, that Boris Johnson is a loser. The next election will be the first Labour v Con fight that Boris Johnson won’t be facing an elderly socialist opponent that some have accused of antisemitism. It looks like Sunak might give the…

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Meanwhile, in the Treasury…

Meanwhile, in the Treasury…

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Just a week or so ago, Jeremy Hunt was appointed Chancellor and immediately and successfully set about trying to restore the UK to some semblance of financial credibility after the car crash of Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-budget and subsequent events.  The PM who appointed him, and whose government he seemed, for a few days, to be effectively running, is now past her sell-by date, and a whole new Tory psychodrama has erupted, centred around the ego of Boris Johnson.  Jeremy Hunt’s…

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The Tory leadership will be decided in the nomination race

The Tory leadership will be decided in the nomination race

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This could all be over by 2pm on Monday The pressure is on CON MPs not to let the next leader to be decided in a membership ballot which is good for Sunak. They’ll try to soak up enough nominations that prevents others getting to the 100 target. If it goes to a ballot then Johnson will have a better chance of winning. So that means that Tory MPs are going to be overwhelmed this weekend by efforts to get…

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An embarrassment of riches …. or maybe just an embarrassment.

An embarrassment of riches …. or maybe just an embarrassment.

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Farewell then Liz Truss: 45 days, 1 mini-Budget, 1 resignation, 2 monarchs, 2 Chancellors, 3 sackings and 3 PMQs. Those setting pub quiz questions will forever be in your debt. As for the runners: Sunak: sensibly stayed away from the Cabinet. Campaign slogan: “I bloody told you so!“ Hunt: appears to be calm and a grown up. Probably the only one willing to speak (and implement) some hard truths to both the party and the country. Mordaunt: only if you…

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Rishi now odds on for the PM job

Rishi now odds on for the PM job

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The money’s also going on Mordaunt and Johnson What a day and, as seemed likely overnight, Truss decided to call it a day and now we have another CON leadership contest with it all being sorted this month. My guess is that this will not go to the members but there will be an agreement that whoever is a second after the MP voting rounds will pull out and leave it to the one who’s top choice of the parliamentary…

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Could TMay be back as a temporary PM?

Could TMay be back as a temporary PM?

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My 42/1 bet looks value Assuming for a moment that to Liz Truss is ousted then is she really going to stay in post while a leadership election is carried out? That would seem a nonsense and is why there’s a lot of talk about an agreed candidate going forward without a membership ballot. But that might not be as easy as it is hoped and in that situation I just wonder whether Theresa May could be asked to be…

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